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There is no transition to renewables in a 20 year or less horizon. Europe will be wrecked economically and industrially if there is no negotiated end to this war, anything else is wishful thinking.


Why would you think so? To replace Gas for electricity for instance it seems to suffice to double wind and maybe quadruple solar. That is totally doable.

Everything on top would help reduce heating use of gas.

The major issue is that until then we are back to burning coal which is cheap but environmentally much worse than gas.

Last, your point on a negotiating end of the war is weird. Russia blew up their own pipelines. We are never going back to Russian gas in Germany in the near future. This war will be won on the battle field.


Edit: Article from today regarding fracking in Germany: sufficient gas for next 20 years

https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/eu-kommission-befuerchtet-...


There is nothing about fracking in Germany in this article. Regarding "Russia blowing up their own pipelines", that makes zero strategic sense. The pipelines being an option played into Russia pressuring EU. That potential leverage going away is not really helping the Russians.

I see a lot of posts written from point-of-views that can only be described as outlandish, as they do not reflect the grim reality. I'd be surprised if full-scale riots in every major Northern European city are not the order of the day in a couple of months, never mind years.




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