That's a big if. We don't have enough testing in place to determine that currently. The reported number of cases and the actual number of cases are not the same right now.
We certainly have enough information now. You don’t need to know the total number of infections to know the trend.
Positive cases have stayed roughly the same since April 4th while testing increased. For R0 to be greater than 1, we would have to be worse at testing.
> I think the point still stands unless you think we are identifying a lower proportion of infections
I do. https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-d... indicates many areas of NYC are seeing more than 57% positive results; that likely indicates we're not even scratching the surface. We're simply not that good at identifying who to test.
That's a big if. We don't have enough testing in place to determine that currently. The reported number of cases and the actual number of cases are not the same right now.