I got an applied math Ph.D. with a good
course in measure theory and stochastic
processes from a star student of E. Cinlar and
a lot in optimization, wrote my dissertation
on stochastic optimal control,
had a solid background in
software, especially in scientific
computing, including a lot of applied
statistics,
sent a resume to Fisher Black at Goldman
Sachs, and still have his nice answer back
that he saw no opportunities for mathematics
in finance.
Jerked the chains of lots of headhunters
and got nowhere.
There is no messaging system; visit the user's profile (click on their name) and cross your fingers they have some kind of identifying information- an email address, a web page, etc.
but I see no e-mail. When I do the
same click on my Hacker News user name,
then, yes, I see a line for my e-mail
but the line (a text box) is empty
because I haven't given my e-mail to
HN.
Long time ago, e.g., Fisher Black
was still alive (maybe he's not now).
I hadn't yet heard of James Simons.
The rumor I heard was that Simons
liked to hire mathematical physicists
from Russia.
I had no way to go to Wall Street
and already know all about everything
they they were doing. The martgingale
convergence theorem, measurable selection,
power spectral estimation, sure, all
about Wall Street, no.
When I was in graduate school, people
who understood both measure theory
and martingales, Markov processes, etc.
were like hen's teeth. Or, sure,
essentially every pure math Ph.D.
knows measure theory, but curiously, at
least in the US, they rarely take a
course in graduate probability. It's
tough for me to believe that many
physics students actually work at all
carefully through measure theory.
So, hen's teeth.
So, I thought that
I had relatively good qualifications.
And since I'd read E. Thorpe's book,
Wall Street was one of my goals.
But I couldn't get the time of day from
Wall Street.
Finally, with the letter
back from Fisher Black, I gave up.
I mean, good grief,
a lot of the interest is in
the Brownian motion approach to
the Dirichelet problem and
Black-Scholes, and that was
Fisher Black.
In a sense I can't fault Wall Street:
A lot of people there are making
a lot of money now, with, usually
without, measure theory, etc., so
clearly they don't need me.
Once again, over again, one more time,
in the US the main way to make money
is to own a business and make it
valuable, not to work for someone
else. So, I'm doing a start-up.
Based on some mathematics, including
measure theory? Yes. Having to do
with Wall Street? No.
Right, LTCM: So, let's see, independent
increments with the same distribution
and not much more and satisfy the
central limit theorem and, thus, get
a Gaussian process, really, an
approximation to Brownian motion.
So, ..., and LTCM should have worked,
right? Wrong! Those assumptions are
only approximately correct, and
moreover need some work on the rate
of convergence to a Gaussian, with
good attention to the tails, and, there,
tilt. Boom. Someone kicks over a
bucket of fish heads in Asia and ...,
down goes LTCM.
I heard that at GS Rubin pushed
algorithmic trading.
Sure, would've been great to have met
Simons. Heck, I never got around to
working in differential geometry but
at one time did get the notes of
S. S. Chern! And once tried to understand
a seminar of an A. Gleason student!
But I did cover exterior algebra,
from both Fleming and Spivak. Now
I have Cartan's book, now in English!
I have no idea just what Simons did
to make his $12 billion or so,
but likely it had to do with algorithmic
trading in some sense.
Once I did get an interview at
Morgan-Stanley, showed them some
work I'd done in mathematical
statistics, I later published,
and mentioned that I'd like to
work in the applied math of
trading but got no interest.
The people on Wall Street made plenty
of money and didn't need me.
So, I decided to go where I could
make money just by pleasing users/customers --
do a start-up, i.e., hire myself.
From headhunters, I got a lot of
just hostility: The main reaction
was that in looking for a job I
was doing something wrong. For
another, my resume said I'd been
a professor. Right, I had been.
So, the head hunter got all twisted
out of shape suggesting that I
claimed the title of Full Professor.
Nope, I claimed no such thing.
The headhunter was eager to be
nasty. Bizarre. Dysfunctional.
Destructive. Nonsense.
I don't know what Wall Street wanted;
I have to doubt that much of Wall Street
knew what Wall Street wanted;
whatever they did or didn't want,
they didn't want me.
It's a very old problem: If working
very high up, then are almost certainly
(Simons is a grand exception) are
working for people who, net, don't
know measure theory. Then a person
actually making use of such math
will have a huge interpersonal
interface problem.
Quite broadly
one of the main bottlenecks in
getting value from technical work
is the problem of the awkward,
often bitter, interface between
a good technical person and a less
technical superior.
I have heard that the lawyers have
a solution here: A working lawyer
is supposed to report only to
a qualified lawyer.
Really, then, a technical person with
some valuable technical work should
just start their own business.
Or, how many people on Wall Street
working as applied mathematicians
and not for themselves
earn money enough to live
in a nice Manhattan townhouse
or apartment? My guess is, not many
and that, instead,
the big bucks, say, for a $20 million
townhouse, are going to
non-technical people, management,
sales, IB, trading, firm ownership, etc.
Really, then, a technical person with some valuable technical work should just start their own business.
Precisely. You've correctly identified the irrational non-technical prejudice the financial industry may have towards someone such as yourself. The only solution is to become their competitor. You'd be surprised how easy it is to beat incompetent corporations at their own game. If it can be done with multi-stage rockets, it can be done with hedge funds.
Hence why we're all united here as fans of PG's essays on HN. Welcome aboard, and god speed in your entrepreneurial ventures.
For me, it has been some fun math
and software. I'm gathering some
initial data and should go live
soon. Then if people like the work,
I'll be in good shape.
Just checked with my ISP: Can
upgrade to 25 Mbps upload speed
with a static IP address for
$89 a month. That 25 Mbps is
a lot: If users really like my
work, enough to half fill that
24 x 7, it adds up to millions
a year in revenue. Less expensive
to start than a pizza carryout,
and makes money even when
I'm asleep.
I'm borrowing at least two of
PG's points: (1) At first
don't try to please 1 million
users only a little but
try to please 100 users a lot.
Then they will tell others and
will have 1000 users and 10,000
users. Then expand to another
100 users .... (2) Initially,
don't be afraid to do work that
does not scale. So, I'm following that:
For the data, the 'business model'
has that gathered, in a way that
will scale, automatically
as a by-product of the usage, but
that will work well only with a lot
of usage. In the meanwhile, I will
will just insert good data by hand!
From the lectures in Sam Altman's
course at Stanford, just completed,
what I'm doing looks fine except
I'm a solo founder, who's done all
the work, thus, knows all the work,
has no co-founder disputes,
owns 100% of the business, and has
meager burn rate. The burn rate
is so low that by the time the business
qualifies for equity funding, it will
likely also be profitable enough
for me to buy lots more servers,
in a spare bedroom, upgrade my
house circuit breaker to 200 A,
put in a window A/C, get some
UPS units, put my emergency
electric generator on a pad in
a small shack just out back
and have it kick off when the
UPS says so, get a new SUV
and Corvette, and keep growing.
Outsource bookkeeping, accounting,
taxes, and legal, and grow.
Maybe be like the Canadian
romantic matchmaking service
Plenty of Fish, long just
one guy, two old Dell servers,
ads just from Google, and
$10 million a year in revenue.
Sure, if we were four co-founders,
all married, with all four
wives pregnant and wanting
a new, two bath, three bedroom
house, with a nice backyard,
in a nice neighborhood, and
a new SUV, for her, with
a baby car seat, a play pen,
a bassinet, a crib, a stroller,
two washing machines, help
with the housework, a GYN,
OB, pediatrician, GP, dentist,
dermatologist, optometrist,
swimming instructor, etc.,
then, sure, we'd be desperate
for equity funding! But,
not me!
Looks fine so far.
$10 million a year is a lot
for a mathematician on Wall Street.
Jerked the chains of lots of headhunters and got nowhere.
I concluded f'get about it.
Maybe since then it's changed.