SpaceX has put exactly 0 people into orbital space at all, much less to the Moon.
China has only just made it to space and are still struggling with getting probes to the Moon.
Not to say NASA is going to be the first to Mars, but they are far and away the only ones with anything remotely resembling a track record to support it. Well, NASA and Russia, but Russia doesn't seem to be doing much in terms of pushing new programs.
SpaceX has put exactly 0 people into orbital space at all, much less to the Moon.
China has only just made it to space and are still struggling with getting probes to the Moon.
Not to say NASA is going to be the first to Mars, but they are far and away the only ones with anything remotely resembling a track record to support it. Well, NASA and Russia, but Russia doesn't seem to be doing much in terms of pushing new programs.