I both hope and sincerely think you are wrong. People improve with practice. Give them enough training to get that practice and they will improve.
Yes, the bar of what the machines can do is high, and rising, but there are a lot of things they will not be able to do for the forseeable future such as program, write, do most repairs, or pick heads of lettuce. At least for the immediate future, anything that is not repetitive and fixed in task will be hard to automate, but relatively easy to train a normal person for.
These are purely rule-based, mechnical tasks. I would say those are among the first to go into robot hands.
At least for the immediate future, anything that is not repetitive and fixed in task will be hard to automate, but relatively easy to train a normal person for.
Well, immediate future is a relative term. Looking at what Asimo and other robotics projects can do today I very much expect the robots of 2050 to be capable of performing around 90% of all jobs better than a human.
There simply isn't much creativity or "humanity" involved in most jobs.
Repairs generally are not mechanical or rule based, depending on the complexity of the system involved of course. Picking heads of lettuce is, but there is no robot on the horizon capable of doing it without destroying them.
Yes, the bar of what the machines can do is high, and rising, but there are a lot of things they will not be able to do for the forseeable future such as program, write, do most repairs, or pick heads of lettuce. At least for the immediate future, anything that is not repetitive and fixed in task will be hard to automate, but relatively easy to train a normal person for.