Yes, I am pretty pessimistic. It's getting worse. Today Rostelecom again completely blocked Livejournal, this time without any legal reason, because Navalny's blog was already blocked by Livejournal for Russian IPs with error 451. They already talk about cracking down on Opera Turbo, the easiest block evasion mechanism, soon DPI will be deployed, etc.

Fortunately, the internet is large and adds a huge number of new domains daily such that whitelisting is so disruptive to everyday browsing it's rather difficult (e.g. Amazon cloud front CDN makes new domains with one click and you couldn't block the base domain with breaking several major websites)