No, everyone would not be behind carrier grade NATs. Presumably, in a dystopic future where CG-NAT became the new norm, the outcome for people like us is that we'd pay extra every month for our Internet service.
The rest of your comment presumes that the only connectivity on the Internet is via IP packets. But that's not true; it's an assumption based on historical patterns of access. Instead, assume the emergence of a routed message relay substrate built out of TCP connections (or even best effort SCTP or some other TCP-friendly datagram service). You'd "connect" to that next-generation Internet by making the same kind of connection your browser does, and having done so would be off to the races.
The rest of your comment presumes that the only connectivity on the Internet is via IP packets. But that's not true; it's an assumption based on historical patterns of access. Instead, assume the emergence of a routed message relay substrate built out of TCP connections (or even best effort SCTP or some other TCP-friendly datagram service). You'd "connect" to that next-generation Internet by making the same kind of connection your browser does, and having done so would be off to the races.
This stuff makes me want to blog again.