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"If Greenland declares independence" -> "If Greenland unilaterally declares independence"

Of course, you can't do that, there are criminal consequence: yes you can get arrested for that. Like in any country.

There are even worse: financial consequences (600M USD lost per year!).

But what if a richer buddy offers you protection and more money ?

In that specific agreement:

> "The agreement on independence shall be endorsed by a referendum in Greenland. The agreement shall furthermore be subject to the consent of the Folketing [Danish Parliament]."

It's "yes, you can leave, but you need our permission".

Today, Danish parliament is not really happy at the idea of giving away Greenland to anyone.

https://www.euronews.com/2026/01/08/danish-soldiers-would-sh...

They won't shoot at the US, but they can repress protests if that gets too far.



1) They want a new source of funding, ideally one they develop on their own (e.g. a mining and refining industry), to maintain their welfare state. It's a preference of theirs, not something imposed on them by the evil Danes.

Finding a new "buddy" to replace Denmark makes no sense. Why would they want to swap their dependence on a country which likes its welfare state (and is demonstrably good at administering it) for one which takes a notoriously dim view on such things?

2) Greenland becoming independent implies changing the borders of the kingdom of Denmark. That obviously requires a decision by parliament, no way around it.

Anyone interested in the facts can see the law in question here:

https://www.lovtidende.dk/api/pdf/125052

It would obviously not exist if Denmark was hellbent on denying Greenland its independence. All it does is lay out an orderly and straightforward process for the transition.


Factually, I agree with you on both points. Like from the rule of law perspective.

Statistically you are right, but in practice I would be cautious. I'm betting on the fact that a mad world is going to be even more mad (I couldn't imagine US threatening to invade Denmark... though I understand the US opportunity as well).

10 years ago I would totally agree with you.

So let's see.




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