On vibe coding being self-correcting, I would point to the growing number of companies mandating usage of AI and the quote "the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent". Companies routinely burn millions of dollars on irrational endeavours for years. AI has been promised as an insane productivity booster.
I wouldn't expect things to calm down for a while, even if real-life results are worse. You can make excuses for underperformance of these things for a very long time, especially if the CEO or other executives are invested.
> The real problem we should be discussing is, how do we convince students and apprentices to abstain from AI until they learn the ropes for real
I hate to say it but that's never going to happen :/
I'm a bit cynical at this point, but I'm starting to think these AI mandates are simply another aspect of the war of the capital class on the labor class, just like RTO. I don't think the execs truly believe that AI will replace their employees, but it sure is a useful negotiation lever. As in, not just an excuse to do layoffs but also a mechanism to pressure remaining employees: "Before you ask for perks or raises or promotions, why are you not doing more with less since you have AI? You know that soon we could replace you with AI for much cheaper?"
At the same time, I'll also admit that AI resistance is real; we see it in the comments here for various reasons -- job displacement fears, valid complaints about AI reliability, ethical opposition, etc. So there could be a valid need for strong incentives to adopt it.
Unfortunately, AI is also deceptively hard to use effectively (a common refrain of mine.) Ideally AI mandates would come with some structured training tailored for each role, but the fact that this is not happening makes me wonder about either the execs' competency or their motives.
I wouldn't expect things to calm down for a while, even if real-life results are worse. You can make excuses for underperformance of these things for a very long time, especially if the CEO or other executives are invested.
> The real problem we should be discussing is, how do we convince students and apprentices to abstain from AI until they learn the ropes for real
I hate to say it but that's never going to happen :/