A big part of what?

FrustratedMonky · 2025-09-18T12:28:21 1758198501

https://ai-2027.com/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_onqn68GHY

One of the stages was gov/military personnel became dependent on AI for decision making.

adastra22 · 2025-09-18T14:34:08 1758206048

So.. a sci-fi short story?

FrustratedMonky · 2025-09-18T14:39:58 1758206398

That is the sarcastic take.

More generously, 'an Expert-Driven forecast that offers a possible extrapolation' or possible realistic scenario.

Parts of it seem to be coming true already, parts of it are dependent on some technology breakthroughs that haven't happened.

Forecasting mileage may vary

adastra22 · 2025-09-18T20:51:24 1758228684

LW’s forecasting ability here has been notoriously bad, fwiw. I don’t have any reason to trust anything they say on the subject, and in fact every reason to suspect.