Because trapping us in this endless debate of what the "real" cause is has been the go-to strategy for the oil and gas industry, where no matter how many times it is bloody proven, they hem and haw and say "well we need more evidence" but they aren't like, not selling gasoline anymore until we know it's safe are they? They just keep doing exactly what we're pretty damned sure is killing the planet, while endlessly debating whether it is or not.
Sure, but maybe we should have been transitioning our communities 20-30 years ago away from encouraging people to hop in a massive SUV getting 17MPG just to go get a loaf of bread. Maybe we should have been working towards reducing our carbon impact in sane, practical ways many decades ago instead of having our heads buried in the sand for so long.
Why do you care what they say? Shouldn't your response be that it doesn't matter who caused it; we need to fix it regardless. Why do you want to have that argument?
How would you expand "fix it" as used in your post?
What are the generic fixes for global warming, that are applicable to any potential cause?
Would the set of potential mitigating actions look the same between human-caused climate change and something like prolonged increases in solar energy output?
We have a ton of evidence for human-caused climate change. Understanding the factors that contribute to a problem allow you to take more appropriate actions. Without looking at the causal factors, your ability to thoroughly mitigate tends to be limited.
If you were trying to fill a bucket but the bucket was losing water as fast as you poured it in, wouldn't you look into why, maybe see if there's a hole? Or would you just keep pouring and hope for the best?
I would look to see if there was a hole. I'd also consider that I could solve the problem by getting a bigger bucket, freezing the water, or pouring cement into the bucket.
Well unfortunately we only have the one "bucket" - Earth. We don't have the opportunity to exchange it for a bigger bucket.
Your other solutions don't work even in the metaphor's context. Flowing water doesn't freeze easily, so you're either cooling the whole system to insanely cold levels or you're pouring ice cubes into the bucket. But we're moving water in the bucket, not ice. We want liquid water. Are we gonna stand around and wait for it to melt when we get to where we're going? And won't the water just leak out while we wait?
Cement? I can see that going two ways. Either the hole is so big that the unset cement flows through easily, or it does manage to fill the hole. In the first case nothing has changed except you now have a puddle of cement under the bucket, possibly starting to bind the bucket to the ground. In the other, you may indeed plug the hole, but you've substantially increased the bucket's weight and reduced its capacity.
So now that we've both over-extended a metaphor - what are the generic solutions you propose for global warming?
Unsurprisingly, I don't have a novel answer that the world's great minds haven't thought of. I just think it's pointless to keep having the debate about whether the causes are due to human activity, which they almost certainly are.
But since you're hungry for alternatives other than stop doing the things that caused global warming, there are the geoengineering options.
The debate is, indeed, pretty pointless. The data is pretty clear. Human activity is driving global warming.
I'm not hungry for alternatives. I'm hungry for the debate to end and us to move forward towards less polluting energy sources and transportation means.
As we agree there is no true debate to be had about the causes, we should move on to solutions.
Time for another metaphor!
Let's say you live in a big house with a bunch of other people. There's a problem, someone keeps shitting on the floor. You even know who the floor-shitter is!
You could ignore what you know about the cause of the situation and just focus on after-the-fact mitigation. You could put down absorbent pads and hope the floor-shitter chooses to use them. You could establish a shit-watch rotation that attempts to detect and clean up the turds as soon as possible after they're laid. You could remove all carpet and rugs to make the cleanup easier. You could install air filters and fresheners to help with the smell.
Or you could address the cause, and seek ways to stop the floor-shitter from shitting on the floor in the first place.
There is no chance this will be solved by convincing people to stop using fossil fuels. If you somehow were able to convince the Western countries, you're not going to convince China and the rest of world.
The options are nuclear for baseline with solar and wind supplementing it. Or geoengineering. The cost will be astronomical and voters will not be happy to pay for it. Also, bizarrely, countries with nuclear have actually been turning off their nuclear.
Given the incentives that exist, it would probably be a good idea to think seriously about the geoengineering options.
Yeah, all of those things need to happen. And they all require massive investment. They also have a better chance of success if we significantly reduce fossil fuel usage in the meantime and extend the runway a bit.
The debate matters because we don't have consensus as a society that climate change is occurring. The scientific consensus has been consistently and aggressively countered in the public sphere. The interests that have pushed the counter narrative do not push for action regardless of cause. They push for inaction, because action costs them money.
If there was a societal consensus that global warming is a massive problem and we were pouring tons of cash into geoengineering, I'd be on board with your position. But we're not, we're still arguing about whether it's happening at all or whether it's enough to really be a problem or whether it's worth doing anything at all.
The debate matters, and causality matters for establishing the facts in the debate.
I don't really have a position other than it doesn't matter if everyone believes that global warming is occurring and that it was caused by our activities. Even if everyone thought that, I don't think they would be willing to take any kind of hit to their lifestyles to address it.
Are the people driving around in ridiculous giant SUVs and trucks and turning off the nuclear plants all not convinced that global warming is happening? I'm guessing they just think it will all work out somehow in the future.
Because trapping us in this endless debate of what the "real" cause is has been the go-to strategy for the oil and gas industry, where no matter how many times it is bloody proven, they hem and haw and say "well we need more evidence" but they aren't like, not selling gasoline anymore until we know it's safe are they? They just keep doing exactly what we're pretty damned sure is killing the planet, while endlessly debating whether it is or not.