Did anything else happen around 2020 that might be a confounding variable?

(We see similar crime trends in other countries without BLM/George Floyd/police reform movements during that time period.)

It is almost as if something world shattering had happened in between those years.

I don't know what point you're trying to make. Yes, obviously it's covid-related. So what? It can't be ignored.

But you can largely ignore it. It was a relatively short term small blip in a decades long trend in the right direction, with a clearly rare and unusual cause.

Interesting to historians and public policy folks. Outside of that, the pearl clutching about it probably did more damage than the spike itself.

I mean, the comment I'm replying to by mlinhares is explicitly claiming crime did not rise during ~that specific period in response to a comment by JumpCrisscross claiming it did during ~that specific period. mlinhares is just wrong here.

I'm glad the broader trend is that crime is improving, but there was actually a blip upwards in ~covid times, and JumpCrisscross is correct that Dems in charge during that time were punished for it.