Table saws do not seem to have reduced the demand for good carpenters. Demand is driven by a larger business cycle and comes and goes with the overall housing market.
As best I can tell, LLMs don’t really reduce the demand for software engineers. It’s also driven by a larger business cycle and, outside of certain AI companies, we’re in a bit of a tech down cycle.
In almost every HN article about LLMs and programming there’s this tendency toward nihilism. Maybe this industry is doomed. Or maybe a lot of current software engineers just haven’t lived through a business down cycle until now.
I don’t know the answer but I know this: if your main value is slinging code, you should diversify your skill set. That was true 20 years ago, 10 years ago, and is still true today.
> Table saws do not seem to have reduced the demand for good carpenters. Demand is driven by a larger business cycle and comes and goes with the overall housing market.
They absolutely did. Moreover, they tanked the ability for good carpenters to do work because the market is flooded with cheap products which drives prices down. This has happened across multiple industries resulting in enshittification of products in general.
As best I can tell, LLMs don’t really reduce the demand for software engineers. It’s also driven by a larger business cycle and, outside of certain AI companies, we’re in a bit of a tech down cycle.
In almost every HN article about LLMs and programming there’s this tendency toward nihilism. Maybe this industry is doomed. Or maybe a lot of current software engineers just haven’t lived through a business down cycle until now.
I don’t know the answer but I know this: if your main value is slinging code, you should diversify your skill set. That was true 20 years ago, 10 years ago, and is still true today.