I started experimenting and I think this builds out pretty neat estimations from jira tickets/other descriptions. When I was sitting in the CTO role, I spent a ton of time talking with people about how long/short various projects would be. When I was a developer, I hated the estimation piece because it felt like it was both keeping me from building and was almost never done with enough context to get really accurate results.
I was playing with the OpenAI API and I noticed that they can actually return a set of probability x next tokens and I thought that it might actually give you kind of cool ways to see the distribution of potential outcomes. (You can see an example here: https://universalestimator.com/estimates/c68db45b-7622-4bab-... that looks at a detailed ticket for implementing filtering on a dashboard.)
Let me know if you have any feedback, it's free with the promo code TYHN. If you run into any issues, please send me an email at earl@unbrandedsoftware.com
Right now, it asks you some follow up questions and assumes you're a medium sized org, but I'd like to start to move that into configuration and do some sort of time/bayesian expiration of memory/information as part of the questions it asks.
I think a ton of the variance between teams is probably captured by some version of a few calibration questions, aka:
- How large is the org?
- What region is your org based in?
- How long does it take to get the smallest possible change into production?
I started experimenting and I think this builds out pretty neat estimations from jira tickets/other descriptions. When I was sitting in the CTO role, I spent a ton of time talking with people about how long/short various projects would be. When I was a developer, I hated the estimation piece because it felt like it was both keeping me from building and was almost never done with enough context to get really accurate results.
I was playing with the OpenAI API and I noticed that they can actually return a set of probability x next tokens and I thought that it might actually give you kind of cool ways to see the distribution of potential outcomes. (You can see an example here: https://universalestimator.com/estimates/c68db45b-7622-4bab-... that looks at a detailed ticket for implementing filtering on a dashboard.)
Let me know if you have any feedback, it's free with the promo code TYHN. If you run into any issues, please send me an email at earl@unbrandedsoftware.com