It is very similar to the birthday paradox - it is an order of magnitude easier to predict average weather, than the exact weather at a specific time.
Despite that, we care about the former for our long term survival, and for the latter on whether to put on a rain coat today.
It is very similar to the birthday paradox - it is an order of magnitude easier to predict average weather, than the exact weather at a specific time.
Despite that, we care about the former for our long term survival, and for the latter on whether to put on a rain coat today.