Interesting article. It seems every war post-Cold War has turned into some kind of proxy war. No matter how much US politicians who are isolationist try to spin the Ukraine war as a "territorial dispute" and how well it plays with their domestic base, the US has been intimately involved since the start.
Perhaps the Cold War never really ended and there's been a secret conflict in the background ever since?
The Cold War ended with the fall of the Soviet Union, and a new Cold War with Russia started during the late 1990s, around the time of the NATO-Yugoslavia war.
There is this idea that the breakup of Russia and Ukraine was bloodless in 1991, but that a military response was inevitable from the petulant displeased Russian state. We managed to delay the fight, but it was kind of inevitable.
> It seems like this is a low point for Russia - a protracted hot war on what was previously its own turf.
That kind of “low point” is most of the history of the independent Russian Federation, given the first (1994-1996) and second (1999-2009) Chechen wars and the North Caucasus insurgency (2009-2017).
One of the surprising thing here is how much the European and American media managed to convince Ukrainians that they are 100% on their side.
Let's play a realpolitik change of perspective, and assume that both the Europeans and the Americans wanted to weaken and grind down Russia's military and economy for some years to come in a strategic move without putting any "boots on the ground", well not their own boots at least, but using Ukrainian "boots". Well, I posit they would use Ukraine in the exact shape they did it over the last 4 years or so. Nothing more or less. I believe Biden admin expected a repeat of 2014, quick and easy take-over and Zelensky gets to run away on an offered ride. But he didn't, that was surprising but the Americans didn't hesitate and decided to use that "bravery" for their goals as well. Sure, they may have also saved Ukraine but I don't think their actions since indicate they really cared about Ukraine per se, that was a secondary propaganda spin, they just saw a chance for a nice proxy war with Russia and they got it.
We're in a Cold War with hot proxies. The original Cold War was also like that.
Now, China, Iran and North Korea are backing Russia without engaging in direct confrontation in Ukraine; the EU, NATO, and maybe still the US are backing Ukraine. If Trump realigns with Putin against Ukraine, then the axis of authoritarian countries will have won a major battle. Trump will ofc lose many of his old-guard GOP supporters if he does that.
Remember how Putin saying that Russia was fighting the USA and not Ukraine was supposed to be an example of either him going insane or puffing up the conflict for his domestic audience? Well, for whatever reason now the western media are allowed to tell the truth. Now, why would that be - that's still a mystery.
It's no mystery. The US regime changed to one sympathetic to Russia (at the very least), so the ever-supplicating political establishment has started realigning. Remember this is the same paper that helped drum up support for the Iraq War. Even "leftist" corpo media is still just blue-flavored state media.
As far as the truth, the problem is the lack of two functioning political parties. Two parties representing different approaches to the US's interests would have meant that the opposition poking holes in the official narratives would point to a competing US-benefiting alternative. Imagine instead of this feckless trickle of weapons effectively keeping the Ukrainians on a leash, the US could have taken the lesson from the Moskva and let Ukraine run with it. That is the debate we should have had.
Run with it and do what? Defeat a nation with five times the population? And remember, far from everyone in Ukraine is eager to serve the new masters. The men from the "occupied" territories? They are on the front lines fighting, and not on the US side. American media have started to cover "busification". They may be able to talk about this angle soon.
Let's say you are much smarter than me. If you managed my finances you'd probably get much better ROI. Should I voluntarily hand everything over? Notice that I am not equating you with me: I acknowledge that you are smarter. Still, my survival requires that I fight you with all I've got if you decide to take my stuff away from me.
That's what this "subjugation" business is at the end of the day: a satellite country trading one master for another. And before you start with national pride: superpowers absolutely see their satellites as currency.
And it sucks that your family had to flee adversity. At the same time, my grandfathers entire family was killed by soldiers from a country we now consider a paragon of democracy. So spare me.
Perhaps the Cold War never really ended and there's been a secret conflict in the background ever since?