In all of these posts I fail to see how this is engineering anymore. It seems like we are one step away from taking ourselves out of the picture completely.
I don’t write binaries, assembly, or C. If I don’t have to write an application, I’m okay with that.
I still have to write the requirements, design, and acceptance criteria.
I still have to gather the requirements from stakeholders, figure out why those will or will not work, provision infra, figure out how to glue said infra together, test and observe and debug the whole thing, get feedback from stakeholders…
I have plenty of other stuff to do.
And if you automate 99% of the above work?
Then the requirements are going to get 100Xed. Put all the bells and whistles in. Make it break the laws of physics. Make it never ever crash and always give incredibly detailed feedback to the end users. Make it beautiful and faster than thought itself.
I’m not worried about taking myself out of the loop.
I have to say that I am worried that, by taking myself out of the loop for the 99%, I'm going to get worse at the 1% of things that occasionally fall into my lap because the LLM can't seem to do them. I think software engineering is a skill that is "use it or lose it", like many others.
There's also the question of whether I will enjoy my craft if it is reduced to, say, mostly being a business analyst and requirements gatherer. Though the people paying me probably don't care very much about that question.
Reading some of the comments in the "Layoffs don't work" right before reading comments here must have been one of the more surreal experiences for me :)
The takes are as different as (paraphrasing): "if a person can't create something with en empty text editor, I fail them", and "if a person can't speed run through an unrealistically large set of goals because they don't use AI-assisted development, I fail them".
I guess one should keep their skills at both honed at all times, even if neither are particularly useful at most real jobs, because you never know when you're going to be laid off and interviewing.
How many devs could debug both a K8s network configuration issue and a bug in an Android app caused by a weird vendor's OS tweak? Not most of us.
Some people will be better at pushing the LLM things to generate the write crap for the MVP. Some people will be better at using these tools for testing and debugging. Some people will be better at incidence response. They'll probably all be using tools with some level of AI "magic" in them, but the specialization will be somewhat recognizable to what it's been for the past decade.
If you're on the business side you still want a team of people running that stuff until there's a step-change in the ability to trust these things and they get so good you'd be able to give over control of all your cloud/datacenter/network/whatever infrastructure and spending.
And at THAT point... the unemployed software engineers can team up with the unemployed lawyers and doctors and blue-collar workers who were replaced by embodied-LLM-powered robots and ... go riot and ransack some billionare's houses until they decide that these new magical productivity machines should let everyone have more free time and luxury, not less.
