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The market is currently valuing it on what it thinks other investors in the market will value it at.

It's a class in the Greater Fool Theory of investing, writ large.



What do you think it would take to create a cascading loss of confidence in the security?


Time


Time and bad results. That said the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.


I think you are right. A minor shock in share price from a bad profit announcement will cause certain traders to have to sell to stop the loss getting worse, probably by an automated stop-loss order. This will start a chain reaction.




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