Are his voters at least in marginal numbers realizing whats happening and possibly about to happen, to US itself and globally? Or its all fine and going on as expected for them.
We get 0 on-the-ground info here in Europe on such topics (at least not in mainstream media), its all bombastic shit like he still runs his reality show and not directly affecting lives of hundreds of millions with each tweet/outburst. I'd expect massive difference in above between cities like SF, LA, NYK compared to midwest or bible south for example.
My MIL lost half the people she works with in the federal cuts. She’s been a massive massive trump supporter (wears maga hats in public, even in San Francisco, has a painting of trump in her house, etc), but the cuts shook her. She told me “I thought they were only going to fire the people who didn’t do anything!” And “but what we do is so important, why are they firing us?”
Now she’s very worried because her, her husband, and all of their children except my wife work for the federal government. And one of her son’s entire life is funded by Medicare (which republicans have made clear they want to gut to make room for tax cuts).
Of course, they blame musk and not trump, but even for diehards like them I’m starting to see some cracks. They still have “faith” in the Donald but I think it’s a shaky faith now. If things get bad enough people really may stop liking him. We’re not there yet tho.
Sunk cost fallacy for a lot of them, to be honest. I’ve heard people criticize his big policies (trade war, trying to be isolationist and etc.), but still say “still better than what the alternative could become”.
The other side of the aisle did not do themselves any favors with the "bitter clingers," "basket of deplorables," or "hell yeah, we're gonna take your AR" type comments. That was all red meat that fed right into people being able to radicalize folks into "vote for Trump, or the other side is coming for you and your way of life."
People on the right were literally calling 2016 a "Flight 93 election," i.e. "storm the cockpit before they can fly this plane into the Capitol," and it was because they feared Hillary would nominate a Supreme Court supermajority that was the opposite of what Trump did, and that it would bury their way of life. You can agree with this or think it's horseshit, but either way you still have to start by understanding that it's what many voters believe. The dismissive condescending comments that Obama and Clinton got caught making, combined with the backlash to George Floyd being murdered in the form of riots and extreme left-wing viewpoints getting aired fed straight into fears in red states that they were going to get bulldozed unless they struck first.
It's hard to say as conflicting reports float around out there. Some things claim his approval rating is increasing, and others say it is decreasing. And of course there's plenty of stories out there about people who "regret their vote" or whatever, but you can also find stories about upset people who then say they'd still vote for him.
I can't find it now but I did see something the other day where a question like "Are you happy with the job Trump is doing" had an overall positive response. BUT, asking "Are you happy with topic X" for a variety of X like economy, DOGE, etc and most of them were quite negative. I suspect this is closer to reality: people aren't happy but they're not blaming him.
I can give you some anecdata on this. Just yesterday I was talking with my Trump-supporter family members, and they literally had no idea he'd been convicted for felony fraud - they thought his only charges were related to the sexual assault accusations from E. Jean Carroll and they hand-waved those away with gusto anyway.
So to answer your question: It's all fine and going on as expected for them, and if you tell them otherwise you're labeled an alarmist crybaby democrat.
I think that's unlikely. My theory is that the voters will prefer to blame immigrants, Muslims, DEI, the Woke mob, Democrats, trans people, Antifa, and RINOs in approximately that order.
If Hitler could convince 65 million Germans that all their problems were caused by a million Jews, Trump should be able to manage something similar.
We get 0 on-the-ground info here in Europe on such topics (at least not in mainstream media), its all bombastic shit like he still runs his reality show and not directly affecting lives of hundreds of millions with each tweet/outburst. I'd expect massive difference in above between cities like SF, LA, NYK compared to midwest or bible south for example.