Okay but I think we’ve lost the thread of the argument.
I am arguing against the claim
"Housing can be affordable or it can be a good investment. Not both."
You support this claim with the argument that “If something goes up more than inflation - it is a good investment” and therefore it can’t be affordable.
I am saying real estate can be a good investment even if it doesn’t go up more than inflation. Do you disagree?
Further, for landlords to make homes available to rent, housing must be a good investment. Do you disagree?
Note that a Georgist tax on 100% of land rental value does not stop the landlord from earning a return on their improvement values. The land tax of a property with a 100% land tax will decrease the land price down to $0, and thus instead of for instance putting $500k into buying land and $500k buying apartments, they could instead buy 2 $500k apartments for the same capital cost. The end result of this will be more apartments, which will bring down rents, but this will yield a higher ROI than they currently achieve, since they have to pay less rents to the banks.
> I am saying real estate can be a good investment even if it doesn’t go up more than inflation. Do you disagree?
Yes I think so. You need rents to escalate faster than maintenance costs (which are tied to inflation closely) for this to be a good trade. So again - for rent to become relatively less affordable over time.
It sounds like you are not considering rental income (the argument I made in my original comment). You only need growth of rental income to exceed growth of cost for it to be profitable to be a landlord. Am I incorrect?
I am arguing against the claim "Housing can be affordable or it can be a good investment. Not both."
You support this claim with the argument that “If something goes up more than inflation - it is a good investment” and therefore it can’t be affordable.
I am saying real estate can be a good investment even if it doesn’t go up more than inflation. Do you disagree?
Further, for landlords to make homes available to rent, housing must be a good investment. Do you disagree?