How much would you like to bet? Is 20k a good number? Can you be more specific about how you’d define bloodbath so we can agree if it does or does not happen?
>Can you be more specific about how you’d define bloodbath
Sure, there's 3 vectors I'm looking at here.
Legislative:
- The government shuts down for 3 or more days before deciding a budget. 1990 shutdown was the most similar situation (which includes Medicaid cuts, but ironically enough was trying to raise taxes) and lasted that long.
Executive:
- Trump vetoes the budget more than once. 1990 as a reference once again, H.W. Bush vetoed the 2nd proposal , once total.
Judicial:
- Trump and congress decide on a budget but judges intervene on the allocation. I'm not sure if this ever happened, but I couldn't find any accounts. So I'd say involving all 3 branches qualifies
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- I'll also lump in any significant attempts at violence or death (natural or otherwise) over any politicians involved in such budget debates as part of that (the most literal "bloodbath" possible)
Those seem like fair enough criteria?
>How much would you like to bet? Is 20k a good number?
I'm sadly still a part of an extended job search, so I have no real money to bet. But if this was 2022, I'd probably put 5k onto it in terms of confidence.
