I wouldn't be that pessimistic. Just like Stephen Curry discovered the value of the three-point shot, someone will come along and spot an opportunity by going against the grain of today's paradigm. Perhaps an AlphaGo for basketball will help to find it.
I don't think that will happen broadly, there will be physical freaks like Wembanyama or players with extreme talent like Jokic that will create teams with unique edges, but the mid range jumper is dead and it's a game of 3 pointers and dunks forever now.
I doubt that. Players like DeRozan prove that mid and even long 2s have utility. As defenses optimize to pack the paint while chasing shooters off the line, more opportunities will open up. If it were obvious how, we'd already be doing them!
