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that doesn't mean ai is improving itself though


My point was that it already was on an exponential trajectory. RL/self-play and the like remove some of the human inputs that were previously required for that growth.

Take the trajectory of chess. handcrafted rules -> policies based on human game statistics -> self-play bootstrapped from human games -> random-initialized self-play.


Chess is a game with complete information. Not a good analogy with the real world.




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