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Seth Klarman, in Margin of Safety, is refreshingly clear on this. The aim is always to buy something worth a dollar, for less than a dollar. You, not the market, must determine what the asset is worth. That generally requires a significant amount of investigation.

If you are not up for that, Klarman explicitly notes that index investing will be fine, but not spectacular, and in particular the index will trade in stocks for no good (investment) reason but simply because they have to keep the index balanced.

Trading on news and events is essentially gambling, although you can use other people's reaction to news to time investments so long as you've already decided to invest and were simply waiting for the price to meet your criteria to make the trade.



> Seth Klarman, in Margin of Safety...

May I ask where / how you came about your copy? I've seen it mentioned several times but have found it difficult to locate. (For example, the used copy on Amazon is selling for $2000!)


There are various scans online, eg [1]. Deeply ironic that the book goes for thousands of dollars today to collectors even as Klarman, in the text, warns that collectibles are a mug's game.

[1] https://www.gyroscopicinvesting.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=13...


Anna's Archive looks like it has ebook copies in several languages.


Not the person you’re responding to, but my email is in my profile


> I've seen it mentioned several times but have found it difficult to locate.

It's famously difficult to buy. The author is an investing billionaire so he has little financial motivation to release an updated version and many demands on his time preventing it.

Pirate it.


Keeping the index balanced is a good reason to trade stocks.


“The deal is made on the buy” with most asset classes.




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