You need actual evidence to make claims like this and be believed. "Possibly not...

		strken 10 months ago \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Hacker in Snowflake extortions may be a U.S. soldi... You need actual evidence to make claims like this and be believed. "Possibly not Russian/American" is self-evident due to how easy misdirection is, but "probably not Russian/American" is a matter of probability for which you've presented no meaningful data or argument.