There's a bit of a paradox with this analysis: a win for Ukraine means pushing Russia out. But Russia collapses if it's pushed out of Ukraine. Therefore there's no way to support Ukraine enough that they win. Could explain the timid attitude of the US and the mixed messaging - sometimes you could be mistaken for thinking that the US's position is that Ukraine already won by not being fully subjugated.
With the new President, who knows what the US's goal will be. Given the messaging from Trump and the head of "DOGE" it's looking ominous for Ukraine. (personally I'm baffled as to why making America great would require rewarding Russian imperialism, so I can't really get my head round their attitudes. Is it just contrarianism?)
But Russia collapses if it's pushed out of Ukraine.
No, it just goes back into its corner with its tail between its legs for a while, like all colonial powers do. Whenever they choose to enmesh themselves in conflicts that are definitely not existential to them, or even in their coldly calculated rational interests.
Just like the French, the British, and the US have all done, and as it has itself done, countless times (and quite recently).
> Could explain the timid attitude of the US and the mixed messaging
The US has given Ukraine over 80 billion US Dollars, I believe. It also applied every possible sanction it could on Russia, to the point there's nearly nothing left to sanction, from what I have read on the topic. Biden has also been about as clear about the US being on Ukraine's side, for as long as it takes, as he could've been without declaring full on war on Russia.
Do you really believe that's a "timid attitude"? The way I see it, the only way for the US to do more is to send troops on the ground, which amounts to full on war with Russia and the prospect of nuclear retaliation.
With the new President, who knows what the US's goal will be. Given the messaging from Trump and the head of "DOGE" it's looking ominous for Ukraine. (personally I'm baffled as to why making America great would require rewarding Russian imperialism, so I can't really get my head round their attitudes. Is it just contrarianism?)