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The US will back Taiwan once musk tells trump that's where the AI chips come from. After that there will be no guarantees.


Biden's Chips Act attempts to onshore chip production, arguably so that we wouldn't have to protect Taiwan in the future (or mitigate against it's eventual capture). However, were Trump to allow China to take Taiwan it would make him look incredibly weak - he won't do that.

If it happens, it happens this year.




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