From my own experience trying to build an intelligent digital twin startup based on the breakthrough in LLM's, I agree with LeCunn that LLMs are actually quite far from demonstrating the intelligence of house cats, and I myself likely jumped the gun by trying to emulate intelligent humans with the current stage of AI.
His AI predictions remind me of Prof. Rodney Brooks (MIT, Roomba) and his similarly cautious timelines for AI development. Brooks has a very strong track record over decades of being pretty accurate with his timelines.
I would suspect any possible future AGI-like progress would be some sort of ensemble. LLMs may be a piece of the puzzle, but they aren't a single model to AGI solution.
His AI predictions remind me of Prof. Rodney Brooks (MIT, Roomba) and his similarly cautious timelines for AI development. Brooks has a very strong track record over decades of being pretty accurate with his timelines.