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these are 12 month numbers


The implication that this avoids seasonal variation is accurate, but there are also other transitory supply shocks. I believe even accounting for seasonality, food and oil prices are more volatile than other items.

Also, I may be wrong about this, but I'm not clear that you can easily do comparisons like "inflation has been X percent over the past 18 months" if you just do comparisons to 12 months ago.




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