On the flip side, though, any regular HN reader has likely seen dozens of accounts written by startup founders whose companies have failed. And there's quite a bit of overlap between the set of HN readers and the set of past, current, and likely-future startup founders.
Yes and optimism bias leads people to believe they won’t experience those negative events. Everyone must believe they are going to do better than the median outcome when they start a company.
On the flip side, though, any regular HN reader has likely seen dozens of accounts written by startup founders whose companies have failed. And there's quite a bit of overlap between the set of HN readers and the set of past, current, and likely-future startup founders.