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Current job market reminds me of ~2016-2017 when you'd see absurd job postings requiring 5+ years of kubernetes experience (kubernetes wasn't released until 2015).

I suspect it'll shake out, but I imagine a lot of people will have to learn new skills and adapt - that's how it's always gone in tech. The fact that people seem blindsided by it is a little surprising to me, we've seen this cycle before.



A lot of newer HN members seem to be junior ICs who never experienced the job market in earlier times.

I've mentioned this fact multiple times before, and you can see this with the ages that most of the accounts are. Half of the accounts on this thread (and much of HN) are from 2020 onwards now.


Ah, yea, that makes a lot of sense. I guess I don't really consider myself "old" or a graybeard yet but I could see how my perspective could differ from someone 15 years younger.


Yea. For a lot of Gen Zs, this is the first "bleh" market they've experienced.

Tech has become commodified like how Teaching became by the 1990s, Accounting became by the 2000s, and Law by the 2010s.

Everyone pays (relatively) good money for an experienced Teacher, Accountant, or Lawyer but pays peanuts for green talent.


> I imagine a lot of people will have to learn new skills and adapt

I've had quite a few months to ponder this, but I keep looping on what can we adapt to?

Specifically, what problem should I try to tackle that is unlikely to be immediately solved by some new emergent property of the latest LLMs?

I feel like the only safe bet is to "adapt" out of the tech industry entirely.




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