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Rising temperatures lead to lower coffee yields. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/09/rising-t...

And just wait until you hear about chocolate.

(The truth is the cost probably needs to rise to handle humane labor conditions, but supply shock is also an issue.)



"The researchers found that between 1980 and 2020, growing regions were more prone to experiencing too-cold temperatures. “The current climate, however, is characterised by too-hot conditions in every region,” they found, adding that “the vast majority of coffee regions never experience too-cold growing season temperatures”.

Article claims that between 2021 and 2023 (a span of 3 years) these regions experienced "Too-hot conditions", prior it was too cold.

Ideal regions have climate similar to Hawaii, where it fluctuates between 16 and 28 degrees celsius, all year round.

Assuming I take the articles seriously:

Using your last 3 data points to make sweeping projections, when they counter the previous year's data doesn't seem like very good science.




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