> the next big system will be built the least-experienced.
This sounds plausible and is consistent with my experience, but I'm curious if you have a reason for why this is? Is it just that the experienced folks are already working on the established systems, and we don't know what the next big one will be? Or is management doing something intentionally that causes this? Or something else?
Perhaps the experienced folk are "difficult" and have "opinions" about the best way to write the new system which is somewhat at odds with what management think they they need. Difficult opinions may include "no, it doesn't need to be 'AI powered' or include a blockchain or be a combinatorial explosion of configurability".
The inexperienced folk will be more "cool yeah let's do it". You can't blame them, it's how to become experienced.
This sounds plausible and is consistent with my experience, but I'm curious if you have a reason for why this is? Is it just that the experienced folks are already working on the established systems, and we don't know what the next big one will be? Or is management doing something intentionally that causes this? Or something else?