He's announced it was one year away each of the last 10 years. [1]

[1] https://futurism.com/video-elon-musk-promising-self-driving-...

I figure BYD is going to reveal the feature in an actual production car soon and blow everybody away.

He just overestimate capabilities of computer inside Tesla.

I'm now reading about Mercedes level 3 automated driving system.

For me looks like, Daimler selling under-priced more powerful hardware, because for Daimler it is spare project (they could earn money on others), and with few times more RAM/FLOPs, they achieve better result.

Plus, Daimler cheat rules, their conditions for usage automated system are significantly more limited than have Tesla.

Unfortunately, Tesla cannot sell cars under-priced, and Tesla by definition whole world system.

I'm not trying to advocate Musk, I'm Ukrainian and Musk said wrong things about Ukrainian war.

But I must admit, just half year ago, I don't know what could do recent AI on my own computer.

During my first year of uni he already announced self driving car in three years.

That was in 2012

edit: 2013, https://www.extremetech.com/cars/166826-tesla-motors-will-pu...

1 year on Mars is 687 days. So 2 years on Mars is 3.7 years on Earth. So he's only slightly behind schedule. /s