I don’t know. I find pessimistic views, like you are expressing, very strange.
My Tesla drives and navigates itself most of the time. 90-95% at least, just not 100%.
As apposed to cars 10 or more years ago which didn’t do any of that.
To me it is much like the “God of the Gaps” when tremendous progress on a big problem is dismissed negatively, due to the (continuously shrinking) gaps of what it can’t do.
We are already five years late in autonomous vehicles replacing all truck drivers. We will see if we even have autonomous driving "long before" 33 years have passed. "AGI" (rebranded AI after "AI" failed to deliver) will of course still not be a thing.
What are these broad technology schedule based criticisms founded on?
I really want to understand this viewpoint!
Hopefully not the over-optimism of anyone who uses optimistic timelines as a motivational force. That’s not real data. Or a suitable benchmark for human progress.
My Tesla drives and navigates itself most of the time. 90-95% at least, just not 100%.
As apposed to cars 10 or more years ago which didn’t do any of that.
To me it is much like the “God of the Gaps” when tremendous progress on a big problem is dismissed negatively, due to the (continuously shrinking) gaps of what it can’t do.