Hard disagree on AI being just a bubble with limited applicability.
> It won't be able to self-drive cars due to all the edge cases, it won't be able to perform surgeries because it might kill people, etc.
You literally just cherry-picked the most difficult applications of AI. The vast majority of peoples' jobs don't involve life or death, and thus are ripe for automation. And even if the life or death jobs retain a human element, they will most certainly be augmented by AI agents. For example a surgery might still be handled by a human, but it will probably become mandatory for a doctor or nurse to diagnose a patient in conjunction with an AI.
> We went through a similar bubble a few years ago with chatbots
Are you honestly comparing that to now? ChatGPT got to 100 million users in a few months and everyone and their grandma has used it. I wasn't even aware of any chatbot bubble a few years ago, it certainly wasn't that significant.
> even the most useful AI tools (Copilot, etc.) are marginally useful at best
Sure, but you're literally seeing them in their worst versions. ChatGPT has been a life-changer for me, and it doesn't even execute code yet (Code Interpreter does though, which I haven't tested yet)
By 2030 humans probably won't be typing code anymore, it'll just be prompting machines and directing AI agents. By then most peoples' jobs will also be automated.
AI isn't just some fad, it's going to change literally every industry, and way faster than people think. The cynicism here trying to dismiss the implications of AI by comparing it to the metaverse are just absurd and utterly lacking in imagination. Yes there is still a lot of work that needs to be done, specifically in the AI agent side of things, but we will get there, probably way faster than people realize, and the implications are enormous.
> By 2030 humans probably won't be typing code anymore, it'll just be prompting machines and directing AI agents. By then most peoples' jobs will also be automated.
Eventually, perhaps. But by 2023? Definitely not.
I think both you and the GP are at opposite ends of the extreme and the reality is somewhere in that gulf in between
> It won't be able to self-drive cars due to all the edge cases, it won't be able to perform surgeries because it might kill people, etc.
You literally just cherry-picked the most difficult applications of AI. The vast majority of peoples' jobs don't involve life or death, and thus are ripe for automation. And even if the life or death jobs retain a human element, they will most certainly be augmented by AI agents. For example a surgery might still be handled by a human, but it will probably become mandatory for a doctor or nurse to diagnose a patient in conjunction with an AI.
> We went through a similar bubble a few years ago with chatbots
Are you honestly comparing that to now? ChatGPT got to 100 million users in a few months and everyone and their grandma has used it. I wasn't even aware of any chatbot bubble a few years ago, it certainly wasn't that significant.
> even the most useful AI tools (Copilot, etc.) are marginally useful at best
Sure, but you're literally seeing them in their worst versions. ChatGPT has been a life-changer for me, and it doesn't even execute code yet (Code Interpreter does though, which I haven't tested yet)
By 2030 humans probably won't be typing code anymore, it'll just be prompting machines and directing AI agents. By then most peoples' jobs will also be automated.
AI isn't just some fad, it's going to change literally every industry, and way faster than people think. The cynicism here trying to dismiss the implications of AI by comparing it to the metaverse are just absurd and utterly lacking in imagination. Yes there is still a lot of work that needs to be done, specifically in the AI agent side of things, but we will get there, probably way faster than people realize, and the implications are enormous.