Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

I would be very surprised that SVB would be able to write terms into their loans that gave them the option to demand immediate loan repayment (these would be puts not calls). Those terms would have to come with much lower interest rates for borrowers and in a low interest environment I don't think it'd make sense.

They may try to sell their loan books to another bank in order to meet withdrawal- which may be very challenging in the current environment.

SVB did exactly this with some of it's mortgage backed securities (a much deeper market) and took a significant hair cut to par value. This was the move that kicked off the bank run. If they tried to do it with corporate loans it'd be even more bloody.



I agree that its unlikely that SVB can call in the loans at any moment.

The bigger issue is that the loans that they made are not properly collateralized because SVB accepted startup equity as the collateral. After all, startups and their founders typically don't have a ton of assets to offer up as collateral on loans at the beginning. If the startups are unable to operate because they no longer have access to their funds, then the value of that collateral is unknowable and the borrower has limited (if any) ability to make regular payments. That would mean that any institution interested in purchasing the loans from SVB would have to go through on a case-by-case basis to assess the true risk associated with each loan. IMO, that makes it very unlikely that we'll see a major institution step in over the weekend. Over time, perhaps those loans will eventually make it to stronger banks, but it will take time, that many startups don't have.


If the startup has no operating cash the equity collateral has a known value of 0.

Buying SVBs loans make no sense unless SVBs customer liabilities (eg tech deposits) are guaranteed.

I think we will see fed and regulators coordinate a shotgun wedding between SVB and one or several TBTF banks to stem contagion by Monday if not sooner. If not - tech (and the wider market) will be in existential crisis.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: