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I feel like I've been reading this same article again and again my entire life, from the collapse of the cod fishery in '93 until now, we continue to learn nothing and make the same mistakes.

Depressing.



It's really weird, science has pretty much figured out the maths of how to fish a stock sustainably, and doing so would give good yields for the forseeable future (climate change may have an impact). However in most regions the industry and politics alwas keep setting quotas too high, with ever decreasing yields that end in a stock collapse. And this is not in developing nations with other problems, the latest example is the cod stock collapse in the Baltic Sea.


And yet the fishing industry didn't collapse!

After 20+ years, you need to realize the doomsayers were wrong.


Species like thresher, bull and hammerhead sharks have lost up to 80-99% of their populations in the last two decades.

Seabird populations have declined by 70% since the 1950's.

Studies estimate that up to 40% of all marine life caught is thrown overboard as bycatch.

Six out of seven species of sea turtles are either threatened or endangered due to fishing.

Over 300,000 whales, dolphins and porpoises are killed as bycatch every year.

2.7 trillion fish are caught every year, or up to 5 million caught every minute.

Fish populations are in decline to near extinction.

https://www.seaspiracy.org/facts


Seaspiracy is not a credible source.


Fish biomass bottomed at the end of the 90s, which resulted in a bunch of changes in how large-scale fishing happens around the world: https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1909726116

This mostly fixed the problem but demand keeps on increasing along with changes to water temperature, so local collapses in specific populations are becoming a big problem again.


There is a very long list of collapsed fish stocks. The industry is only saved by fishing down the food chain and exploiting new species, which are often harder to catch, helped by techonology.


I think many newfoundlanders that had to abandon their old fishing towns forever would be quite surprised to hear that the doomsayers were wrong.


Well there is a bias at play that we’ll never hear about fisheries recovering. That’s not going to make headline.

I wonder if fisheries recover? For example what’s the state of North Atlantic fisheries?


From the wikipedia article, sounds like not great, although some signs it _could_ recover in the near future if left alone -- which we are unlikely to do, because every time it starts to look like it might recover, we just overfish it again.

Wikipedia ends it's history with:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collapse_of_the_Atlantic_north...

> In 2015, two reports on cod fishery recovery suggested stocks may have recovered somewhat.[56][2][57]

> A Canadian scientist reported that, cod were increasing in numbers, health, normalizing in maturity and behavior, and offered a promising estimate of increased biomass in particular areas.[2]

> A US report suggested that a failure to consider reduced resilience of cod populations due to increased mortality in warming surface water of the Gulf of Maine had led to overfishing despite regulation. Thus, overestimates of stock biomass due to generalization of local estimates and ignorance of environmental factors in the growth or recovery potential of a cod fishery would lead to mismanagement and further collapse of stocks, through further unsustainable quotas, as in the past.[58][59]

> In June 2018, the federal government reduced the cod quota, finding that the cod stocks had fallen again after just two years of fair catches.


Apparently still not well. With similar themes

> The trawlers also caught enormous amounts of non-commercial fish, which were economically unimportant but very important ecologically.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collapse_of_the_Atlantic_nor...


oh I don't know about that... coincidentally we got an article about a recovering fish stock very recently.

https://hakaimagazine.com/features/in-cods-shadow-redfish-ri...

While people are clearly happy about the return of this fish, seems clear there's a lot of uncertainty around what to do next and whether fishing for it is a good idea.


It's tough to talk about North Atlantic fisheries in aggregate. Some are reasonably healthy, others are still collapsed. Cod is just starting to rebound.




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