Realistically, this war is going to continue for another year or two, with the next presidential election in Russia playing a big role in how it ends. Food prices are going to increase unless there will be considerable government intervention to markets to cover the extra costs and to invest in production and logistics.
Elections in Russia are a ceremony of confirmation, which also requires certain numbers to be shown to public. It is hard to go from 30 to 70% by just faking it, so they have to please the core voters. If that means ending the war, they will end it. If that means winning it, they will keep fighting for another 5 years.
> Realistically, this war is going to continue for another year or two, with the next presidential election in Russia playing a big role in how it ends. Food prices are going to increase unless there will be considerable government intervention to markets to cover the extra costs and to invest in production and logistics.
You're assuming there will be a next election in Russia... Putin and his pals are bent on turning what's left of Russia into North Korea, they don't believe in democracy.
The war will end when Putin is violently overthrown by a competing faction inside the Russian government. After all, most of these Russian politicians are just gangsters, not ideologues, and the war in Ukraine is bad for business.
I’m 100% confident that there will be elections in Russia which will result in another term for Putin. They may alter the course of action to address the internal political goals, either prolonging the war or finishing it with an outcome satisfactory for Ukraine. This war is just a projection of internal policy now with the only goal of putinist oligarchy to stay in power.
"The war will end when Putin is violently overthrown by a competing faction inside the Russian government. After all, most of these Russian politicians are just gangsters, not ideologues, and the war in Ukraine is bad for business."
Timeline? It has been bad for business since the beginning, and he's still here...so, maybe not?
