There are tons of valid criticism for the US intelligence community, but when it isn't agenda driven they can be right about a lot of things, for example knowing that Russia was preparing to invade Ukraine.
If you are talking about the very latest invasion of Feb. 2022 and not the start of the war in 2014, then they don't have much credit there, since not only various third parties have been pointing this out for months, the Russians literally told them (in January IIRC ?)
