I feel like pessimistic models like these often miss induced demand. That is with better tools that makes the job easier you open the way to produce more. Stuff that otherwise wouldn’t get animated actually does, by virtue of the craft becoming easier.
I find it odd (but predictable) that people miss this. We’ve seen proliferation of other specialized craft in the past as the tools get better, particularly in programing. And it is not like non-linear systems are that rare among people that are looking into AI and making predictions around it.
Animation is an amazing craft, our culture would for sure benefit from having more of it, and as more and more stuff gets animated, more people are probably gonna get jobs doing it, despite the fact—or even because of the fact—that every individual can produce more of it then before.
I find it odd (but predictable) that people miss this. We’ve seen proliferation of other specialized craft in the past as the tools get better, particularly in programing. And it is not like non-linear systems are that rare among people that are looking into AI and making predictions around it.
Animation is an amazing craft, our culture would for sure benefit from having more of it, and as more and more stuff gets animated, more people are probably gonna get jobs doing it, despite the fact—or even because of the fact—that every individual can produce more of it then before.