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> As we approach The Merge of Ethereum Mainnet, you should be on high alert for scams trying to take advantage of users during this transition. Do not send your ETH anywhere in an attempt to "upgrade to ETH2." There is no "ETH2" token, and there is nothing more you need to do for your funds to remain safe.

Yeah... this is going to be a shitshow. Who wants to set the over/under on $millions that get stolen? Which exchange or fund will lose a vast chunk of its holdings?




You can easily steal millions in crypto with fake Elon giveaways, Metamask phishing, etc so I'm not sure fake merge social engineering is any worse.


> Who wants to set the over/under on $millions that get stolen?

If you can think of a way to measure it metaculus would be interested properly.

> Which exchange or fund will lose a vast chunk of its holdings?

I'd place this at roughly at 0.01% chance for any major exchange or fund


> I'd place this at roughly at 0.01% chance for any major exchange or fund

Over 0.01% of major exchanges and funds have been hacked or scammed this month.


Yeah but I doubt a major exchange or fund will get scammed by someone offering to upgrade their ETH tokens to ETH2.


The base rate for exchanges getting hacked is definitely over 0.01%


> Which exchange or fund will lose a vast chunk of its holdings?

You really think that a crypto exchange's staff is prone to sending all their customer funds to some random email scammer?




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