This seems completely baseless. Anyone might do anything, and there’s no evidence here.

This comment could be said verbatim three weeks ago in regards to the false flag video as pretext for a Ukraine invasion as well as two weeks ago in regards to Russia invading Ukraine anyway.

Nearly all the intelligence reports about what Russia has been planning in regards to Ukraine has been right, almost down to the day of invasion.

The claim is being made by an anonymous US official:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/us-warns-russia-could-u...

Classic Russia - provokes everyone, calls everyone else provocateurs

Read OP with Russian accent for maximum satisfaction

The report provides historical context and lots of nice looking citations to its claims.