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Sweet, nucluear fusion now must only be 20 years away!


20 years ago we were joking about it being 40 year away. So yes, it is timely progress.

I am still bitter that we don't invest more on this research which has the potential to solve the climate crisis "unexpectedly".


ICF really doesn't have this potential, definitely not in the way it is practiced here. Each shot at NIF costs a few million dollars in material costs alone, because of the precisely machined parts that are required to achieve inertial confinement of the plasma long enough to make it start fusion, which get destroyed in the process.


This was a 50 years project because huge installations need to be built in order to gain knowledge about different technologies and aspects of fusion. The goal of these experiments is to achieve fusion power plants. ITER is probably going to be the first large scale demonstration, though I would not rule out an unexpected innovative design to pass it at one point.


The goal of NIF is weapons research, not fusion power (though their technology can in principle be used for fusion power as well, albeit extremely unlikely to be economical).

ITER is indeed aimed at studying fusion for power generation. It's important to remember though that even if ITER reaches its stated goal, it will not generate even one milliwatt of power - it will in fact consume much more power than it can generate. In fact, they are so far from net power generation that they didn't even bother to try to extract any usable power from the plasma - it wasn't even worth it to add turbines.

DEMO will be the "project" to try to obtain positive net power from plasma (it's not a project, it's just a concept that several countries aim to separately execute on, unlike the international collaboration of ITER). And the timeline for any DEMO net power generation is estimated at 30 years after ITER is successful - so 2050+ IF both ITER and DEMO achieve their expected timelines perfectly.


I'm somehow afraid of a world in which huge amounts of energy can be wasted without having a bad conscience. Probably it would lead to some new problems.


Not sure if poe's law but that's basically the way things are today.


Aren't you also excited of the new possibilities? I really believe that once we have left the energy crisis behind us we will witness a new golden age of civilization.


Just think of all the personal data you could collect!


> I am still bitter that we don't invest more on this research which has the potential to solve the climate crisis "unexpectedly".

Unfortunately, solving the climate crisis would put many a pundit out of a job.


Something tells me the alternative is going to do much more than putting people out of jobs.


I agree, but the bureaucrats in charge are more responsive to their own immediate needs than to the long-term outcomes. That is to say, it is in their best interests to prevent an exciting new technology to come out and eradicate the problem as then they would no longer have their jobs.


Sorry, it's actually now 29.5 years away.

Also this article isn't even about a tokamak so...


Let’s see, JET 1998 Q total ca. 0.01, NIF 2021 Q total ca. 0.001 — seems like fusion is getting further away, rather than closer.




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