I agree with the parent that the cited "fact" is sort of questionable (along with some other things on the site even though I really enjoy it overall) because of ambiguity in definitions, assumptions, and so forth.
However, the law of truly large numbers, as you frame it, is something you experience firsthand working in high level severity hospital settings in large metro areas. There's a large enough hospital catchment area that you start to see, on a fairly regular basis, the medical outcomes of all the bizarre and unbelievable things that happen rarely to any given person. It gets to a point it's difficult to know how to explain because the details of each case would be potentially identifying given how strange they are. And yet something happens all the time. Maybe not that one thing, but something of similar impact. It gives you a distorted sense of risk.
However, the law of truly large numbers, as you frame it, is something you experience firsthand working in high level severity hospital settings in large metro areas. There's a large enough hospital catchment area that you start to see, on a fairly regular basis, the medical outcomes of all the bizarre and unbelievable things that happen rarely to any given person. It gets to a point it's difficult to know how to explain because the details of each case would be potentially identifying given how strange they are. And yet something happens all the time. Maybe not that one thing, but something of similar impact. It gives you a distorted sense of risk.