> Erin Mordecai, an assistant professor of biology at
Stanford University, agreed with Riley about the
miscalculation, and cautioned against the comparison.
> She said it’s impossible to accurately calculate a death
rate for each group — vaccinated versus vaccinated —
because demographics skew the data.
> “Those breakthrough cases may not be an average subset
of the population, they may be a more at risk group that's
more likely to have severe disease anyway,” Mordecai said.
“To better understand what's going on with the relative
risk, you would need to know the demographics of the
underlying health conditions of the people who experienced
those breakthrough cases and deaths.”
You have misinterpreted the data. The CDC reports 0.6% fatality rate overall since the start of the pandemic. The fatality rate for vaccinated individuals is way lower, for all variants.
I'm well calibrated on what CFR is, and I don't disagree that there are better measures. However, the parent made a comment about CFR, and so I updated them with more recent numbers, about CFR, which are 20x higher, so at the very least hints that perhaps their numbers are off.
Np! Lots of messiness in the data out there. I hope our data infra gets 8x-64x better in the years ahead. Maybe if we can get there this could be the last pandemic.
106/9,969, as of August 7th.
https://www.mass.gov/doc/daily-covid-19-vaccine-report-augus...