> Avoiding paying more than the US rate doesn't require any of these shenanigans. They could just charge royalties to the US.
I'm not sure exactly what you mean by this
> Dividends are always much lower than profits, and many companies don't do them at all.
Dividends are lower than profits only for companies that have opportunities to reinvest profits into growth. For companies that don't, in principal, you'd expect dividends to be exactly profits.
> Shareholders already own those profits, and cash is reflected pretty directly in share prices. They don't necessarily have to "return" value this way.
There's large opportunity cost to shareholders for companies to hold onto cash, which is usually in low-risk investments, compared to how that shareholder would invest it themselves. That's what I mean by cost-of-capital.
> Many don't.. eg Berkshire.
This is a bit of a special case because Berkshires core business is making investment decisions (and doing so through a holding company is itself tax advantaged). When the day comes the value of Berkshire companies consistently underperforms the market, shareholders will absolutely demand Berkshire start distributing profits instead of making investment decisions on their behalf.
> A small, unsophisticated company doesn't get to (eg) reinvest its profits tax free.
It absolutely can reinvest its profits tax free! It just can't build up a long-term cash pile tax free.
I mean that they could have just paid royalties to the US entity, avoiding Ireland and Bermuda.
Beyond that, you're taking a very naive, textbook approach. Tomorrow never comes, in the sense that you are talking about. Tax deferral should be thought of like an accounting equivalent of equilibrium in economics. It's never reached, but affects how some things work in the present. Dividends<profit isn't explained by the accounting point you made, it's accounted for that way. It actually doesn't require any explanation. It's simply true empirically. In many cases, companies don't pay dividends. Berkshire is one such company. There are other ways, many using less legible, more complex structures to do so.
Berkshire's "special case" is not arbitrary. They're structured in such a way for tax advantage. Restructuring can happen, as do rule changes. One of the reasons why tomorrow never comes.
>> It (small, simple company) absolutely can reinvest its profits tax free!
Ask a farmer what happens when they buy land. Ask a store what happens when they increase stock. This is emphatically untrue. If it were, we wouldn't call this an income tax. We'd call it a dividend tax.
As with the first point, if the tax was intentionally applied only to dividends, there would be no need for shenanigans. Apple & MSFT could be housing their cash where they are actually headquartered.
I don't have any opinion on corporate tax generally. IMO, the whole thing advantages financial & software firms unfairly, relative to companies that need to make real capital investments in order to grow. I do have an opinion on the fairness of it.
I'm not sure exactly what you mean by this
> Dividends are always much lower than profits, and many companies don't do them at all.
Dividends are lower than profits only for companies that have opportunities to reinvest profits into growth. For companies that don't, in principal, you'd expect dividends to be exactly profits.
> Shareholders already own those profits, and cash is reflected pretty directly in share prices. They don't necessarily have to "return" value this way.
There's large opportunity cost to shareholders for companies to hold onto cash, which is usually in low-risk investments, compared to how that shareholder would invest it themselves. That's what I mean by cost-of-capital.
> Many don't.. eg Berkshire.
This is a bit of a special case because Berkshires core business is making investment decisions (and doing so through a holding company is itself tax advantaged). When the day comes the value of Berkshire companies consistently underperforms the market, shareholders will absolutely demand Berkshire start distributing profits instead of making investment decisions on their behalf.
> A small, unsophisticated company doesn't get to (eg) reinvest its profits tax free.
It absolutely can reinvest its profits tax free! It just can't build up a long-term cash pile tax free.