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Chia's problem is your chance of "winning" is directly proportional to the global number of participating plots.

Adding plots costs 100GB a time, so an 8GB drive can get you about 80. If you want to double that, you must buy another drive. Double it again, two, four, eight drives etc, and they're like $200 each.

The number of participating plots you are competing with though, is going up exponentially. That will double by itself in a couple of weeks.

So people in at the ground floor, who premined, will do great, the whale-sized farming operations with a significant fraction of the lottery tickets will do great, for everybody else every hour dilutes their chance of "winning" anything.



Was that meant to be 100MB each, or an 8TB drive?


8TB, once processed the default plots are 100GB and can live on slower media. While being created, they require 240GB of temp space on preferably faster media.

That's where the SSD problem comes from, during creation the 240GB is thrashed, it is reused for every plot made. So an 8TB storage for finished plots implies 80 finished 100GB plots, which implies 80 x 240GB of thrashing on the SSD to produce them.




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