Your chance of dying from COVID is heavily dependent on your age and any preexisting conditions, so any comparison that uses a single probability for everyone is totally wrong for a very large number of people.
One person, out of the 6.8 million who have gotten the J&J vaccine, died from blood clots. A second is in critical condition.
Yes, your risk of dying from COVID varies with age, but not to that extent. Even among children, the death rate for COVID is an order of magnitude over the 0.000015% to 0.000030% chance of death it would have to be for the decision to stop using the J&J vaccine to make sense, based on the numbers we're making that decision based off of. Among the people who are actually being blocked from getting the J&J vaccine (e.g. mostly 20s/30s/40s adults), the decision looks much worse.
> Your chance of dying from COVID is heavily dependent on your age and any preexisting conditions, so any comparison that uses a single probability for everyone is totally wrong for a very large number of people.
It also depends on the rate of community spread (and what's spreading) in the communities you're in.
The exact same caveat can be made for people who are vulnerable to the extreme side effects of the J&J vaccine. It depends on specific characteristics of the person taking the vaccine. “any comparison that uses a single probability for everyone is totally wrong for a very large number of people.”
Yes, with the key point that the people who are most at risk of dying from the vaccine are a different set of people than those most at risk of dying from COVID.
