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As a layperson I read “prevent” to mean a 100% reduction. Not sure if there’s a slightly different interpretation than that but I’d presume that’s what they mean?


Didn't have a link handy at the time. Read this https://www.forbes.com/sites/williamhaseltine/2020/09/23/cov...

"We all expect an effective vaccine to prevent serious illness if infected. Three of the vaccine protocols—Moderna, Pfizer, and AstraZeneca—do not require that their vaccine prevent serious disease only that they prevent moderate symptoms which may be as mild as cough, or headache."

"Prevention of infection is not a criterion for success for any of these vaccines. In fact, their endpoints all require confirmed infections and all those they will include in the analysis for success, the only difference being the severity of symptoms between the vaccinated and unvaccinated."


The Moderna vaccine, for example, “is highly effective in preventing symptomatic COVID.”

They only did PCR testing on trial participants who reported symptoms. They did not PCR test the entire study population.

Incidence of symptomatic COVID was dramatically halted by about Day 14 after the first dose:

https://twitter.com/wgibson/status/1336298050315313158?s=21


>the only difference being the severity of symptoms between the vaccinated and unvaccinated

seems kind of wrong to me. The main difference they are hoping for is the number of cases of illness between the unvaccinated and vaccinated. If you get 100 cases in the unvaccinated group and 1 in the vaccinated it doesn't really matter if the symptoms are a bit better or worse.




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